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Journal Articles Frontiers in Earth Science Year : 2021

Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps

1 Department of Mathematics/CEN, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg
2 NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
3 University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
4 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Roma
5 ERN Internacional, Mexico City
6 CIMNE - Centre Internacional de Mètodes Numèrics en Enginyeria
7 UiB - University of Bergen
8 SIAME - Laboratoire des Sciences de l'Ingénieur Appliquées à la Mécanique et au génie Electrique
9 IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de La Universidad de Cantabria, Santander
10 Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ, Department Geodesy and Remote Sensing
11 UCL - University College of London [London]
12 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna
13 GEM Foundation, Pavia
14 IFREMER - Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer
15 LMV - Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans
16 German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn
17 LIPI - Indonesian Institute of Sciences
18 University of Bristol [Bristol]
19 UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna
20 University of Hradec Králové
21 ROMA TRE - Università degli Studi Roma Tre = Roma Tre University
22 Cyprus University of Technology
23 Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT
24 UCD - University College Dublin [Dublin]
25 Universidad de Málaga [Málaga] = University of Málaga [Málaga]
26 Finnish Geospatial Research Institute (FGI), Masala
27 Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
28 Institute of Physics and Technology, Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg,
29 Department of Engineering Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Ankara
30 International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Athens
31 CAL POLY POMONA - California State Polytechnic University [Pomona]
32 GSI - Geological Survey of Israel
33 University of Zagreb
34 BGS - British Geological Survey
36 NKUA - National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
37 Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München
38 C.N.R. - Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Milano
39 Insight Research Centre, University College Cork
Raphael Paris
Hong Kie Thio
  • Function : Author


Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.


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Dates and versions

hal-03227520 , version 1 (17-05-2021)





Jörn Behrens, Finn Løvholt, Fatemeh Jalayer, Stefano Lorito, Mario Salgado-Gálvez, et al.. Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps. Frontiers in Earth Science, 2021, 9, ⟨10.3389/feart.2021.628772⟩. ⟨hal-03227520⟩
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