Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps
Jörn Behrens
(1)
,
Finn Løvholt
(2)
,
Fatemeh Jalayer
(3)
,
Stefano Lorito
(4)
,
Mario Salgado-Gálvez
(5, 6)
,
Mathilde Sørensen
(7)
,
Stéphane Abadie
(8)
,
Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe
(9)
,
Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga
(9)
,
Andrey Babeyko
(10)
,
Marco Baiguera
(11)
,
Roberto Basili
(4)
,
Stefano Belliazzi
(3)
,
Anita Grezio
(12)
,
Kendra Johnson
(13)
,
Shane Murphy
(14)
,
Raphael Paris
(15)
,
Irina Rafliana
(16, 17)
,
Raffaele de Risi
(18)
,
Tiziana Rossetto
(11)
,
Jacopo Selva
(12)
,
Matteo Taroni
(4)
,
Marta del Zoppo
(3)
,
Alberto Armigliato
(19)
,
Vladimír Bureš
(20)
,
Pavel Cech
(20)
,
Claudia Cecioni
(21)
,
Paul Christodoulides
(22)
,
Gareth Davies
(23)
,
Frédéric Dias
(24)
,
Hafize Başak Bayraktar
(3)
,
Mauricio González
(25)
,
Maria Gritsevich
(26, 27, 28)
,
Serge Guillas
(11)
,
Carl Bonnevie Harbitz
(2)
,
Utku Kânoǧlu
(29)
,
Jorge Macías
(25)
,
Gerassimos Papadopoulos
(30)
,
Jascha Polet
(31)
,
Fabrizio Romano
(4)
,
Amos Salamon
(32)
,
Antonio Scala
(3)
,
Mislav Stepinac
(33)
,
David Tappin
(11, 34)
,
Hong Kie Thio
(35)
,
Roberto Tonini
(3)
,
Ioanna Triantafyllou
(36)
,
Thomas Ulrich
(37)
,
Elisa Varini
(38)
,
Manuela Volpe
(4)
,
Eduardo Vyhmeister
(39)
1
UHH -
Universität Hamburg = University of Hamburg
2 NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
3 University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
4 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Roma
5 ERN Internacional, Mexico City
6 CIMNE - Centre Internacional de Mètodes Numèrics en Enginyeria
7 UiB - University of Bergen
8 SIAME - Laboratoire des Sciences de l'Ingénieur Appliquées à la Mécanique et au génie Electrique
9 UC / UniCan - Universidad de Cantabria [Santander] = University of Cantabria [Spain] = Université de Cantabrie [Espagne]
10 Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ, Department Geodesy and Remote Sensing
11 UCL - University College of London [London]
12 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna
13 GEM Foundation, Pavia
14 IFREMER - Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer
15 LMV - Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans
16 German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn
17 LIPI - Indonesian Institute of Sciences
18 University of Bristol [Bristol]
19 UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna = University of Bologna
20 University of Hradec Králové
21 ROMA TRE - Università degli Studi Roma Tre = Roma Tre University
22 Cyprus University of Technology
23 Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT
24 UCD - University College Dublin [Dublin]
25 Universidad de Málaga [Málaga] = University of Málaga [Málaga]
26 Finnish Geospatial Research Institute (FGI), Masala
27 Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
28 UrFU - Ural Federal University [Ekaterinburg]
29 Department of Engineering Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Ankara
30 International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Athens
31 CAL POLY POMONA - California State Polytechnic University [Pomona]
32 GSI - Geological Survey of Israel
33 University of Zagreb
34 BGS - British Geological Survey
35 AECOM
36 NKUA - National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
37 Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München
38 C.N.R. - Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Milano
39 UCC - University College Cork
2 NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
3 University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
4 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Roma
5 ERN Internacional, Mexico City
6 CIMNE - Centre Internacional de Mètodes Numèrics en Enginyeria
7 UiB - University of Bergen
8 SIAME - Laboratoire des Sciences de l'Ingénieur Appliquées à la Mécanique et au génie Electrique
9 UC / UniCan - Universidad de Cantabria [Santander] = University of Cantabria [Spain] = Université de Cantabrie [Espagne]
10 Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ, Department Geodesy and Remote Sensing
11 UCL - University College of London [London]
12 INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna
13 GEM Foundation, Pavia
14 IFREMER - Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer
15 LMV - Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans
16 German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn
17 LIPI - Indonesian Institute of Sciences
18 University of Bristol [Bristol]
19 UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna = University of Bologna
20 University of Hradec Králové
21 ROMA TRE - Università degli Studi Roma Tre = Roma Tre University
22 Cyprus University of Technology
23 Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT
24 UCD - University College Dublin [Dublin]
25 Universidad de Málaga [Málaga] = University of Málaga [Málaga]
26 Finnish Geospatial Research Institute (FGI), Masala
27 Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
28 UrFU - Ural Federal University [Ekaterinburg]
29 Department of Engineering Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Ankara
30 International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Athens
31 CAL POLY POMONA - California State Polytechnic University [Pomona]
32 GSI - Geological Survey of Israel
33 University of Zagreb
34 BGS - British Geological Survey
35 AECOM
36 NKUA - National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
37 Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München
38 C.N.R. - Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Milano
39 UCC - University College Cork
Stéphane Abadie
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 172004
- IdHAL : stephane-abadie
- ORCID : 0000-0002-9852-3517
- IdRef : 185160913
Raphael Paris
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 17068
- IdHAL : raparis
- ORCID : 0000-0003-4569-5187
Jorge Macías
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 807101
- ORCID : 0000-0002-3010-8050
Résumé
Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.
Domaines
VolcanologieOrigine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
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