Give a fish or teach fishing? Partisan affiliation of U.S. governors and the poverty status of immigrants
Résumé
This paper investigates how governors' partisan affiliation affects the poverty status of
immigrants to the U.S. To this end, we compare the poverty outcomes of immigrants in states
ruled by Democratic governors relative to the outcomes for those in states ruled by Republican
governors. We employ a regression discontinuity design using the re-centered Democratic
margin of victory as a running variable, to overcome the identification challenge posed by
confounding factors. Consistent with the literature on partisan affiliation, we find that
immigrants are more likely to get out of poverty in states with Democratic governors than
states with Republican governors. Our results are submitted to a variety of robustness checks
and sensitivity tests, to assess the validity of the identification strategy, and highlight conditional
lame-duck effects. A formal mediation analysis reveals that the empirical results are mediated
through better access to the labor market and possibly through higher wages and labor earnings
for immigrants. Last but not least, we check for alternative hypotheses and potential detrimental
effects for native populations.